China trade surplus hits record $49.8 billion

September, 11th 2014

China’s trade surplus surged to a record $49.8 billion in August, figures showed on Monday, as imports saw a surprising fall and export growth slowed in a further sign of softness in the world’s second-largest economy.

The mixed bag of data from the General Administration of Customs follows a string of figures showing continued weakness in the economy, fanning expectations the government will unveil new measures to boost growth.

Imports declined 2.4 per cent year-on-year to $158.6 billion, while exports increased 9.4 per cent to $208.5 billion.

The drop in imports was greater than July’s 1.6 per cent fall and missed the median forecast of a 2.7 per cent increase in a Wall Street Journal survey.

Exports beat estimates of a 9.2 per cent increase but were still well down from the 14.5 per cent rise seen in the previous month.

As a result, the surplus surged 77.8 per cent year-on-year to beat the previous all-time high of $47.3 billion set in July and easily pass the median forecast of $42 billion.

The news will do little to ease worries about the economy after a recent batch of disappointing data as a series of mini-stimulus measures have failed to kickstart growth.

Last week two closely watched indexes indicated that expansion in manufacturing activity slowed in August. And in July, bank lending plunged while growth in key measurements such as industrial production, retail sales and fixed-asset investment lost momentum from the previous month.

Analysts say China’s outlook is being damaged by trouble in its huge property sector — where new home prices in August saw their fourth consecutive month-on-month decline — and the waning effect of stimulus measures taken earlier this year.

“We expect the government to continue to roll out small, targeted easing measures to offset the ongoing property market correction,” Nomura economist Hua Changchun and colleagues said in a note reacting to the trade data.

The continuing import decline “is another worrying sign of weak domestic demand”, they added.

In March the government set its 2014 growth target at about 7.5 per cent, the same goal as last year. The economy grew 7.7 per cent in 2013, matching 2012’s result which was the worst since 1999.

The poor performance in the first three months prompted authorities in April to introduce measures to boost growth, such as tax breaks for small enterprises, targeted infrastructure spending and lending incentives in rural areas and for small companies.

Source: Khaleejtimes.com